Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.551672 1.765488 1.999884 2.276206 2.593436 2.946689 3.370513
2025-10-26 1.226106 1.503482 1.832412 2.252406 2.776121 3.409839 4.238145
2025-11-02 0.977642 1.274962 1.651195 2.164667 2.851040 3.742244 4.995823
2025-11-09 0.786985 1.080961 1.473943 2.041581 2.846991 3.958451 5.625175
2025-11-16 0.675231 0.970907 1.385839 2.016274 2.959948 4.335857 6.522868
2025-11-23 0.583696 0.873837 1.298864 1.974334 3.034961 4.659809 7.382365
2025-11-30 0.543108 0.844495 1.304225 2.066655 3.319639 5.332296 8.880535
2025-12-07 0.499652 0.803998 1.285567 2.115804 3.538294 5.924938 10.335087
2025-12-14 0.450492 0.747582 1.233465 2.101105 3.645147 6.340956 11.542500
2025-12-21 0.398257 0.679488 1.153349 2.026892 3.635995 6.549422 12.398459
2025-12-28 0.378891 0.664950 1.161817 2.108113 3.914117 7.309054 14.411156
2026-01-04 0.361401 0.651423 1.169899 2.188467 4.199379 8.118056 16.647769
2026-01-11 0.338450 0.626310 1.155761 2.228349 4.418434 8.842391 18.863096
2026-01-18 0.316877 0.601384 1.139179 2.261487 4.629129 9.581912 21.245876
2026-01-25 0.286802 0.556797 1.079881 2.201153 4.637635 9.899142 22.739060
2026-02-01 0.254785 0.504929 1.000518 2.089141 4.519568 9.923451 23.550513
2026-02-08 0.235730 0.477195 0.966785 2.069837 4.602764 10.408709 25.561528
2026-02-15 0.216742 0.447609 0.926016 2.029986 4.633519 10.776577 27.343798
2026-02-22 0.211534 0.446518 0.945234 2.126809 4.996627 11.988707 31.546660
2026-03-01 0.202824 0.436914 0.944897 2.178375 5.257923 12.990334 35.376368
2026-03-08 0.189746 0.416320 0.917992 2.163661 5.352702 13.583516 38.177262
2026-03-15 0.173457 0.386904 0.868133 2.087318 5.280106 13.728560 39.707901
2026-03-22 0.169414 0.385224 0.882175 2.171230 5.638132 15.085484 45.140576